Method and limits

What the lines and scores mean, where the material comes from, and what it cannot tell you.

Tie strength

Every link between two states carries three expert-judgement scores from 1 to 10:

ComponentWeightWhat it measures
Intensity0.45The depth of coercion, exchange or integration at its peak
Duration0.25How long, and how continuously, the tie lasted
Legacy0.30How strongly institutions, economies or cultures still carry its mark

Tie strength is 0.45 × intensity + 0.25 × duration + 0.30 × legacy. On the map it sets line thickness, and the scale is non-linear so that the strongest ties stand out. The weights are a design choice, not a finding. The detail panel shows all three components, so you can disagree with them.

Link types

Colonial and imperial legacy (solid line); intervention and military power (dashed); economic dependency and trade (dotted); ideological and revolutionary ties (dash and dot); borders and migration (short dashes); and alliance and integration (long and short dashes). Two states can share several links of different types, and the globe bends each one separately so that none hides another.

Arrows and direction

An arrowhead shows who acts on whom: a metropole on its colony, an intervening power on its target, an investor or patron on a dependent economy, or the main flow of migrants. A tie with arrowheads at both ends is mutual (an alliance, a border dispute, a war between peers) or could reasonably be read either way. Each direction was assigned by reading the tie's description, so it is a judgement, like the strength scores.

History-to-climate pathways

For each state the atlas records a few causal chains from a political or historical driver (a state oil monopoly, a military road-building programme, a debt crisis) to a climate-relevant outcome (emissions, land use, vulnerability or policy). Each pathway has a direction, a strength score and a confidence rating. Indicators appear only where the order of magnitude is well established, and they are approximate.

Correlation is not causation. A pathway marks a plausible, documented influence. Climate outcomes also depend on geography, global markets and technology, and none of these scores is a statistical estimate.

The four modules

The atlas follows four Institute of the Americas modules, read from their UCL Moodle pages for 2026/27:

Each unit has an era and a set of countries. Choosing a module under "Module lens" on the Atlas page shows every tie that touches the countries its units name, in those units' eras. Choosing a unit narrows the map to that unit's era and states. The search box filters ties by country, event or theme. Units that cover the whole hemisphere show every tie from their period. Study-skills sessions are listed on the Modules page but have no map lens.

Sources and process

Known gaps

Open source

The Americas Atlas was made by Lazaros Tsela and is open source. Anyone may use, study, copy and adapt it, and corrections or additions are welcome.

The atlas is an independent student project. It is not affiliated with or endorsed by UCL. Tie strengths are expert judgements, not measurements, so check the sources before citing anything.

Contributing. The data lives in plain JavaScript files in the data/ folder, one file per region or topic. Each record names its sources. To fix an error or add a tie, edit the relevant file and include a source for the change.